targeting.ai Society Signal

Merton101 · Method

How a case is verified

24 verified cases in 11 categories · since 25 Sep 2026

The ledger keeps one entry per institution where an assumption broke because AI changed a cost, a signal or a behaviour, and somebody pays. Nothing enters on a headline: every number is checked against its source by a second model, and the reader can see the check.

What a case is

A case is an institution (a court system, a journal, a bounty program, a platform, sometimes a city, a country or a profession), the assumption that broke (that writing costs effort, that volume means interest, that a polished text means a competent author, that a reply comes from a person), the first-order effect with the numbers the source gives, the adaptation the institution has made so far, and who pays the externality. Dated, sourced, sober. No forecasts.

The ledger has two halves. A side effect is the default. A resilience case is one where the response is the story: the shock, what the institution did, and the measured outcome. Both share one record shape, so one page grammar serves both.

How a case gets in
  1. Discover. Once a week, four families of web queries: institution-agnostic phrases in English and German, twenty niches a model proposes given what the ledger already holds, the practitioner channels where "we are drowning in AI-written X" is said first, and the positive phrasing that finds institutions that coped.
  2. Extract. One model reads each page and decides whether it describes a case. If it does, it fills the fields from the page only, and lifts every number, quote and date verbatim into a list of claims. The tenth article about the same institution updates the existing case instead of adding one.
  3. Verify. A second model from a different provider reads the fetched pages, never the web or its memory, and gives every claim a verdict: supported, partly, not supported, or unverifiable. A case becomes verified only when every claim is supported. Anything less stays a candidate and never shows here.
  4. Review. One person reads the week's candidates and what changed, keeps, kills, or marks a case to write about. A killed case never counts.

Each case page shows the evidence pages, the quotes, and the second reader's verdict on every claim. That table is the whole promise of the site: "every number checked twice" is literal.

The ladder

How far an institution has reacted is the trend signal, not the day's headline. Categories tend to move up the ladder, and a rung moving is what the Side Effects page exists to show.

none
nobody has reacted yet
detect
the institution can tell machine from human, and stops there
verify
every submission is checked before it counts
price
a cost on the sender; the filter is money again
tie
submissions are tied to a person
reform
the rule itself was rewritten
Who pays

Every case names who carries the externality in a sentence. The extractor also files it under one of ten groups, so the Who Pays page can add them up:

Volunteers and reviewers
unpaid gatekeepers: peer reviewers, maintainers, moderators, volunteer editors · volunteers-reviewers
Clerks and public staff
paid staff of an institution: judges, clerks, case workers, librarians, teachers, nurses · clerks-public-staff
Students and learners
students, trainees, juniors who lose the practice that trained them · students-learners
Job candidates
applicants and candidates drowned in a flooded pipeline · job-candidates
Platform workers
gig workers, freelancers, independent researchers paid per task or bounty · platform-workers
Patients and clients
the people the institution serves: patients, litigants, customers, applicants, readers · patients-clients
Creators and small publishers
authors, musicians, indie developers, small outlets displaced by volume · creators-small-publishers
Public budgets
taxpayers and the budgets of courts, agencies, universities · public-budgets
The general public
everyone: the record, the commons, trust in a procedure · general-public
Other
a group the taxonomy has no row for; the case names it · other
The data

The ledger is published under CC BY 4.0: use it, cite it. JSON and CSV carry every verified case with its evidence URLs; the Atom feed carries the newest fifty. New cases land on Monday mornings, Berlin time. Cite a case by its page, which is stable: the id in the URL decides.

Suggested citation: targeting.ai, The ledger of unintended AI side effects, https://society101.targeting.ai, retrieved on a date.

Where the lens comes from

The schema, the ladder and the first six cases come from the essay Friction Was the Filter (Towards AI, September 2026), which read James S. Coleman against Germany's social courts, curl's bug bounty and 15,899 AI-written peer reviews. The collector is open about its limits: sources are the web as the queries find it, English and German first, and a verified case is only as good as the page it rests on. Corrections reach the author through targeting.ai.